Carlos Maria Zarate vs Leonel Cesar Castro Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When considering second serve performance, Carlos Maria Zarate leads by winning 44.30% of points, compared to Leonel Cesar Castro's 38.46%. Does this give Zarate an edge in this area? Yes, it does, as this stat often aligns with match outcomes.
• In return games, Zarate also has a stronger performance, capturing 48.09% of points from opponents' second serves, while Castro wins 35.71%. First serve returns show Zarate winning 30.99% of points versus Castro's 26.79%.
• Who handles pressure better during breakpoints? Zarate excels, saving 53.87% of breakpoints against him, which is significantly higher than Castro's 30.77%.
• Looking at match performance over the past year, Zarate has a higher win rate, securing 58.90% of matches, while Castro has a win rate of 45.45%.
• Analyzing surface preferences, Zarate's best surface is Clay, with a win rate of 50%, whereas Castro's best surface is Indoor Hard, also with a 50% win rate.
• When considering player experience, both compete predominantly in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments at the $10K level, but Zarate has a higher win percentage (59.65% compared to Castro's 45.45%).
• Do differences in opponent quality impact outcomes? Castro faces opponents with an average ranking of 140.91, tougher than Zarate's average opponent rank of 329.7.
• Predicting deciding set outcomes, Zarate holds a slight edge, winning 58% of such sets, more than Castro’s 50%.
• One surprising factor is break point conversion, where Castro outshines, converting 40.00% of his opportunities compared to Zarate’s 37.50%, a factor in deciding closely contested games.
• Performance in the current event can also shift these predictions; however, there's no data provided at this time.

Editorial Prediction (November 12, 2025, UTC):

Carlos Maria Zarate appears to have a slight edge in the upcoming match due to his superior second serve performance and return game capabilities. These areas are often crucial for winning pivotal points in a match.

Despite Leonel Cesar Castro's ability to convert breakpoints more efficiently, Zarate's resilience under pressure, saving a higher percentage of breakpoints, gives him another advantage.

Additionally, Zarate's overall win rate and better deciding set performance position him as a more consistent competitor over the previous year.

While the quality of Castro's opponents has been higher, Zarate's consistency and strengths in key areas make him the likely winner of this tennis match.